Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-09 0.000170 0.000189 0.000209 0.000232 0.000257 0.000286 0.000319
2025-03-16 0.000129 0.000154 0.000184 0.000221 0.000266 0.000321 0.000392
2025-03-23 0.000109 0.000138 0.000174 0.000221 0.000285 0.000366 0.000481
2025-03-30 0.000098 0.000130 0.000171 0.000229 0.000311 0.000422 0.000590
2025-04-06 0.000086 0.000117 0.000160 0.000224 0.000317 0.000452 0.000666
2025-04-13 0.000074 0.000104 0.000147 0.000212 0.000313 0.000464 0.000716
2025-04-20 0.000068 0.000098 0.000142 0.000213 0.000325 0.000502 0.000811
2025-04-27 0.000064 0.000095 0.000141 0.000218 0.000344 0.000552 0.000933
2025-05-04 0.000059 0.000089 0.000136 0.000216 0.000353 0.000586 0.001031
2025-05-11 0.000055 0.000085 0.000134 0.000218 0.000367 0.000630 0.001153
2025-05-18 0.000051 0.000081 0.000129 0.000216 0.000375 0.000663 0.001261
2025-05-25 0.000048 0.000077 0.000126 0.000215 0.000383 0.000698 0.001378
2025-06-01 0.000044 0.000073 0.000122 0.000214 0.000391 0.000736 0.001509
2025-06-08 0.000040 0.000067 0.000114 0.000205 0.000384 0.000745 0.001584
2025-06-15 0.000038 0.000065 0.000112 0.000206 0.000397 0.000795 0.001761
2025-06-22 0.000037 0.000064 0.000113 0.000213 0.000423 0.000877 0.002028
2025-06-29 0.000034 0.000060 0.000108 0.000208 0.000424 0.000903 0.002164
2025-07-06 0.000031 0.000055 0.000101 0.000198 0.000411 0.000896 0.002215
2025-07-13 0.000029 0.000054 0.000099 0.000198 0.000422 0.000949 0.002434
2025-07-20 0.000028 0.000053 0.000099 0.000202 0.000443 0.001026 0.002739
2025-07-27 0.000027 0.000050 0.000097 0.000201 0.000450 0.001070 0.002961
2025-08-03 0.000026 0.000049 0.000096 0.000203 0.000464 0.001136 0.003262
2025-08-10 0.000025 0.000047 0.000093 0.000201 0.000471 0.001182 0.003512